National Park Service

Science & Nature

NPS Climate Change Response Resources

The NPS Climate Change Response Program works to foster communication, provide guidance, scientific information, and recommendations that support stewardship actions to preserve our natural and cultural heritage from the detrimental impacts of global climate change.

This page provides lists of scientific research publications that were produced by the NPS Climate Change Response Program.

Search All Climate Change Response Program Publications


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Eastern Forest Vulnerability Briefs

Climate, Trees, Pests, and Weeds: Change, Uncertainty, and Biotic Stressors in Eastern U.S. National Park Forests Project

This page contains the downloads associated with the Eastern Forest Vulnerability project. Return to the project homepage.

Project Brief (Project-wide Summary)

2015. Climate, Trees, Pests, and Weeds: Change, Uncertainty, and Biotic Stressors in Eastern National Park Forests. NPS_TreesPestsWeeds_2014.pdf    See full bibliographic record

Journal Article

Fisichelli, N. A., S. R. Abella, M. Peters, F. J. Krist Jr. 2014. Climate, Trees, Pests, and Weeds: Change, Uncertainty, and Biotic Stressors in Eastern U.S. National Park Forests. Forest Ecology and Management. 327(2014). nrs_2014_fisichelli_001.pdf    See full bibliographic record

Project Briefs for Each Park Unit Investigated (by Park Name - 121 Parks)

Recent Climate Exposure Briefs

Climate Exposure of U.S. National Parks in a New Era of Change

This page contains the downloads associated with the Recent Climate Exposure project. Return to the project homepage.

Climate change is ongoing across the national park system; an overwhelming majority of parks are already at the extreme warm end of their historical conditions. This is a core finding from recently published research by NPS scientists (Monahan and Fisichelli 2014). See below for two-page resource briefs summarizing key findings for each of the 289 national park units in the study.

Project Briefs for Each Park Unit Investigated (by Park Name - 289 Parks)

Park Visitation and Climate Change

Warming Temperatures Likely to Alter Visitation Across the National Park System

Project Brief (Project-wide Summary)

2015. Warming Temperatures Likely to Alter Visitation across the National Park System [PDF]

Journal Article

Fisichelli NA, Schuurman GW, Monahan WB, Ziesler PS (2015) Protected Area Tourism in a Changing Climate: Will Visitation at US National Parks Warm Up or Overheat? PLoS ONE 10(6): e0128226. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0128226

Project Briefs for Each Park Unit Investigated (by Park Name - 340 Parks)

Adaptive Capacity

Species Climate Change Adaptive Capacity

A nationwide survey of hundreds of climate change vulnerability assessments found that among the three components of vulnerability, adaptive capacity is evaluated the least frequently, that adaptive capacity is often omitted entirely, and that adaptive capacity is often confused with sensitivity. This paper addresses the importance of including adaptive capacity of species as a fundamental component when assessing vulnerability to climate change. View the project homepage

Publication

Beever, E.A., John O'Leary, J., Mengelt, C., West, J., Julius, S., Green, N., Magness, D., Petes, L., Stein, B., Nicotra, A.B., Hellmann, J. Robertson, A.L., Babij, E., Brennan, J., Schuurman, G.W., and Hofmann, G.E. 2015. Improving Conservation Outcomes with a New Paradigm for Understanding Species' Fundamental and Realized Adaptive Capacity. Conservation Letters DOI: 10.1111/conl.12190. Beever_etal2015_Adaptive_capacity_for_species_fundamental_&_realized.pdf    See full bibliographic record

Past Forest Response to Climate Change

Past Forest Response to Climate Change Driven by Soils and Local Climate

A new paper shows that soils and local climate can strongly influence how forests respond to climate change. This study characterized soils, modern climate, and differences in past fire regime around 12 lakes in northwestern Wisconsin to determine whether observed landscape patterns in geophysical factors or local climate correspond to differences in past variability in forest composition. View the project homepage

Project Brief

Tweiten, M.A., Calcote, R.R., Lynch, E.A., Hotchkiss, S.C., and Schuurman, G.W. 2015. Geophysical features influence the climate change sensitivity of northern Wisconsin pine and oak forests. Ecological Applications 25:1984-1996. Tweiten_et_al._2015_NPS_project_brief_FINAL.pdf    See full bibliographic record

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