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Vital Signs

Northeast Temperate Network

Phenology


Importance / Issues

Biotic responses to climate change will likely be one of the most important conservation issues in the coming decades. By establishing baselines of phenological indictors in the NETN parks, we should be able to document biotic responses to climate change. By monitoring phenological indicators in addition to climate variables, NETN would gain insight into the early impacts of climate change upon functioning ecosystems, including how different species may respond differently to climate change and how these differences may alter ecological relationships and perhaps ecosystem function. Although current funds will limit implementation of a phenology vital sign, we will build on the planned phenology project for the Appalachian Trail, and we hope to implement a rapid assay approach that can incorporate significant contributions from citizen volunteers. Implementing the phenology vital sign would draw upon existing protocols and standards of the European phenology network, the GLOBE program, and the Long-Term Ecological Research (LTER) program.



Protocol Development & Status

The Northeast Temperate Network will be developing a protocol for this vital sign in the near future. The preliminary Phenology Protocol Development Summary is available at this time.



Potential Measures

Establish baseline for and monitor trends for the following dates: leaf-out; flowering; bird arrival; butterfly and insect emergence; invasive plant emergence.

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Preliminary Monitoring Objective

Preliminary monitoring objectives for this protocol are:

  • Establish long-term transects along elevational and altitudinal gradients of the Appalachian Trail and across selected NETN parks;
  • Monitor long-term trends in phenology of selected focal taxa and habitats, particularly focusing on populations occurring near the edge of species' ranges;
  • Monitor long-term trends in phenology of key invasive exotic species likely to benefit from climate change;
  • Compare and contrast current measurements to historical records and modeling efforts, in order to assess the magnitude of phenological change.


Contact Information

NPS lead: Brian R. Mitchell

Email: Brian R. Mitchell

802-457-3368 ext. 37


References

None Presently Available

updated on 06/15/2007  I   http://inp2300fcsdepo1.nps.doi.net/im/units/NETN/monitor/phenology/phenology.cfm   I  Email: Webmaster
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